← 0531 貓腳印彰化店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional
Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
at 0531 貓腳印彰化店 HVN 賽季地區賽 Abyssal Heaven Regional
decks
3
(2.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
8-7-0
overall winrate
53.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.8%
avg ELO +1.5 per match
expected value
52.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1351
· median 1389
· range 1241–1423
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
807
Q1 1187
Q3 1407
1694
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.8% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 67.0% | +12.7 |
| Water Genbu | 10.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.8% | -11.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.8% | +4.6 |
| Wind Allies | 9.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.0% | -20.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.6% | +4.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Overlord | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Zander | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.0 |
| Wind Tonoris | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
